Tag Archives: electoral college

NBC News scoffs: A new memo released by Donald Trump’s campaign shows how his team hopes to compete in toss-up battleground states in the waning weeks of the 2016 election. But the Trump team’s battleground map is far more optimistic than assessments by almost all outside experts, including NBC News. Trump’s campaign lists a total of 12 tossup states: Nevada, …

Media Matters has the transcript: “He has 186 electoral votes in states that he either leads outside of the margin of error or is thought comfortably put away. That compares to Romney’s 206. That’s Romney’s states minus Arizona and North Carolina, where he’s behind, plus Iowa, where he’s ahead. There’s only one other — he’s ahead in Ohio by less …

Reuters reports: Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton maintained her commanding lead in the race to win the Electoral College and claim the U.S. presidency, according to the latest States of the Nation project results released on Saturday. In the last week, there has been little movement. Clinton leads Donald Trump in most of the states that Trump would need should he …

The University of Virginia Center For Politics has posted its “Crystal Ball” electoral college prediction on a Clinton vs Trump match-up, which shows Clinton winning the general election by a huge margin. The group acknowledges that their map is “ridiculously premature.” They write: Yes, more than seven long months remain until the election, and all kinds of unexpected twists and …

From the University of Virginia’s Center For Politics: We had some differences of opinion about the Leans Democratic states in the Midwest and the Northeast, as well as a handful of states that typically go Republican. For instance, we considered starting Pennsylvania and Wisconsin as Toss-ups to reflect how close they could be in a tight national election. However, given …

“Mitt Romney carried 24 states. We need to have conservative activists from all over the nation contact the electors, the Republican Party and the secretary of state in all of these states and tell them not to participate in the Electoral College when it meets on Dec. 17.  If we can get 17 of those states (just over one-third) to …

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Silver’s prediction is on top.

This time I used Silver’s “now-cast.” This is as “now” as it gets.

Above is a final look at what the folks in Teabagistan are betting on.

I’ve been posting these every Friday for almost a year. Raise your hand if Nate Silver has kept you sane these last couple of months.

Embiggen for details or go here.

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I usually post Nate Silver’s electoral college forecasts on Fridays, but today he notes a surge for Mitt Romney. Mitt Romney gained further ground in the FiveThirtyEight forecast on Monday, with his chances of winning the Electoral College increasing to 25.2 percent from 21.6 percent on Sunday. The change represents a continuation of the recent trend: Mr. Romney’s chances were …

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