Politico reports:
Hillary Clinton leads Donald Trump by five points in a head-to-head matchup in the latest national poll of likely voters from Quinnipiac University out Wednesday, with the advantage narrowing to just two points in a four-way race.
Matched against only Trump, 48 percent said they would vote for Clinton, with 43 percent choosing the Republican nominee, 3 percent picking someone else and 6 percent undecided. Clinton led by a larger margin in the previous Quinnipiac survey conducted in August, 51 percent to 41 percent.
In the four-way ballot test, which followed the head-to-head matchup in the list of questions read to likely voters, Clinton received 41 percent to Trump’s 39 percent. Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson received 13 percent, while the Green Party’s Jill Stein took 4 percent, with 3 percent undecided among those choices.
Trump has a 1 in 3 chance of winning the election. It's highly competitive, folks. https://t.co/IDN3p4wsz4 pic.twitter.com/hIcskC1rGX
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) September 14, 2016
As others have mentioned, there are echoes of Brexit here. Clinton's narrowing lead over Trump a lot like Remain's over Leave at this point.
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) September 14, 2016
It's not totally clear how much Clinton's "bad weekend" affected the polls. But clear Trump still gaining ground. https://t.co/mWX5COfJn6
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) September 14, 2016