Tag Archives: Nate Silver

Nate Silver’s Marriage Population Charts

Nate Silver writes at the New York Times: By August, there will be about 585 million people living in countries or jurisdictions where same-sex marriage is legal. That is roughly double the 289 million people living in such places in August 2012. Still, that represents only about 8 percent of the global population. No country in Asia, which has well …

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Nate Silver On Failed Senate Gun Bill

Nate Silver examines last week’s failed gun control bill: Among the 26 incumbent senators who will face elections next year (this definition excludes those senators who have announced their retirements), there was a near perfect relationship between the states’ rates of gun ownership and their votes. Among the 12 senators running for re-election in states where the gun ownership rate …

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Apple CEO Tim Cook Tops Out’s Power 50

Via press release: Tim Cook, number 1 on this year’s Power 50 list, took charge of tech giant Apple as CEO in 2011 and has guided the company through significant upgrades on all of its product lines and helped the brand increase its market share to 20% of all money spent on U.S. consumer technology. This year marks the first …

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Nate Silver On Marriage Support Trends

From Nate Silver’s blog: For right now, it is probably best to treat the question of whether a majority of Americans support same-sex marriage as having an ambiguous answer. Polls are on the verge of saying that they do, but the ballot results are more equivocal. By 2016, however, voters in 32 states would be willing to vote in support …

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Nate Silver Handicaps The Oscars

Details.

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HomoQuotable – Nate Silver

“The polls can certainly affect elections at times. I hope people don’t take the forecasts too seriously. You’d rather have an experiment where you record it off from the actual voters, in a sense, but we’ll see. If it gets really weird in 2014, in 2016, then maybe I’ll stop doing it. I don’t want to influence the democratic process …

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Ranking Of Two-Term Presidents

Nate Silver yesterday contemplated the place that President Obama might one day hold among the presidents that historians consider to be the “greatest.” As common sense might dictate — and as the statistics will also reveal — it is far too soon to conclude very much about this. Second-term presidents may be derided as lame ducks, but it is often …

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HomoQuotable – Nate Silver

“I’ve always felt like something of an outsider. I’ve always had friends, but I’ve always come from an outside point of view. I think that’s important. If you grow up gay, or in a household that’s agnostic, when most people are religious, then from the get-go, you are saying that there are things that the majority of society believes that …

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Gallup Takes A Swipe At Nate Silver

Last week Nate Silver ranked Gallup as the worst polling firm when it came to accurately predicting the 2012 election results. Gallup’s editor fired back on Friday. We have a reverse law of the commons with polls. It’s not easy nor cheap to conduct traditional random sample polls. It’s much easier, cheaper, and mostly less risky to focus on aggregating …

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#DrunkNateSilver

Twitter’s meme for today. Lots more at the link.

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Breitbart: We Were Totally Wrong

As I noted many times here in the last year, leading the wingnut charge that all the polls were faked, fixed, or outright wrong, was Breitbart.  Lamestream media collusion! Romney landslide! 330 electoral votes!  Today Breitbart editor John Nolte apologized.  Mea culpa. We were dead wrong about the polls. Not only did the Real Clear Politics poll of polls end …

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Headline Of The Day

Enjoy!

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Nate Silver’s Map Vs The Result

Silver’s prediction is on top.

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Is Nate Silver A Witch?

The website Is Nate Silver A Witch has issued its final ruling. “While we on the Is Nate Silver a Witch editorial board are strict rationalists, Mr Silver’s performance has been uncanny enough to raise small but significant doubts as to whether his methodology is entirely of this world. We are following the situation closely.” Silver is gonna get SO …

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Final Nate Silver Forecast

This time I used Silver’s “now-cast.” This is as “now” as it gets.

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NYT Reacts To Nate Silver’s Bet

Two days ago polling prognosticator Nate Silver offered to make a $1000 election bet with MSNBC host Joe Scarborough.  Silver’s overlords at the New York Times are taking a dim view. From their Public Editor Journal: Whatever the motivation behind it, the wager offer is a bad idea – giving ammunition to the critics who want to paint Mr. Silver …

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Nate Silver’s Electoral Update

I’ve been posting these every Friday for almost a year. Raise your hand if Nate Silver has kept you sane these last couple of months.

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Tweet Of The Day – Nate Silver

(Via Andrew Belonsky)

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New Polls From Nate Silver

Source.

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Electoral College Update

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