Tag Archives: electoral college

Above is a final look at what the folks in Teabagistan are betting on.

I’ve been posting these every Friday for almost a year. Raise your hand if Nate Silver has kept you sane these last couple of months.

Embiggen for details or go here.

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I usually post Nate Silver’s electoral college forecasts on Fridays, but today he notes a surge for Mitt Romney. Mitt Romney gained further ground in the FiveThirtyEight forecast on Monday, with his chances of winning the Electoral College increasing to 25.2 percent from 21.6 percent on Sunday. The change represents a continuation of the recent trend: Mr. Romney’s chances were …

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Elections prognosticator Nate Silver takes a look at the candidates’ post-convention bounces. The most impressive thing that our model did in 2008, in my view, was not in “calling” all but one of the states right on Election Day. There was very little doubt about who was favored in perhaps 46 or 47 of these states. The other three or …

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