Mediaite reports:
The Marist poll found Harris up 3 points on Trump in Michigan and leading by 2 points in both Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. The pollster’s final results for other swing states showed Georgia and Nevada as tied, while Trump led by 1 point in Arizona and 2 points in North Carolina.
If Marist’s polls were to be the outcome of the election, Harris would sneak out a 270 Electoral College vote win without winning either state that is tied. CNN/SSRS’s final polling results would have Harris winning with 278 electoral college votes, without Pennsylvania – where is she tied with Trump in the poll.
Read the full article. FiveThirtyEight founder Nate Silver, who now works for an outfit funded by homocon Peter Thiel, continues to say Trump will win, claiming that Trump voters are less “civically engaged” and therefore less likely to be reached by or respond to pollsters. However, there’s also the aspect of the “shy Harris” voters, mostly women, some of whom will secretly defy their Trumper husbands, according to wailing by cultist pundits. And of course, there’s Roevember to consider.
#NEW – Electoral Map Based on Final NPR/Marist polling (#6 – 2.9/3.0)
🟦 Harris 270 🏆
🟥 Trump 246
——
Michigan – 🔵 Harris +3
Wisconsin – 🔵 Harris +2
Pennsylvania – 🔵 Harris +2
Georgia – 🟡 Tie
Arizona – 🔴 Harris +1
North Carolina – 🔴 Trump +2 pic.twitter.com/L76QWeQlGT— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) November 1, 2024
#NEW – Electoral Map Based on Final CNN/SSRS polling (full field)
🟦 Harris 278 🏆
🟥 Trump 241
——
Wisconsin – 🔵 Harris +6
Michigan – 🔵 Harris +5
Arizona – 🔵 Harris +1
North Carolina – 🔵 Harris +1
Pennsylvania – 🟡 Tie
Georgia – 🔴 Trump +1
Nevada – 🔴 Trump +1 pic.twitter.com/N2hjB1or7C— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) October 31, 2024
#NEW – Electoral Map Based on Final YouGov/@thetimes poll (full field)
🟦 Harris 276 🏆
🟥 Trump 251
——
Wisconsin – 🔵 Harris +4
Michigan – 🔵 Harris +3
Pennsylvania – 🔵 Harris +3
Nevada – 🔵 Harris +1
Arizona – 🟡 Tie
Georgia – 🔴 Trump +1
North Carolina – 🔴 Trump +1 https://t.co/XAaNjGPIQf pic.twitter.com/9VCh9RKu6q— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) November 1, 2024
#Latest @NateSilver538 Forecast: Chance of winning
MICHIGAN
Harris 61% (+22)
Trump 39%
.
WISCONSIN
Harris 56% (+12)
Trump 44%
.
PENNSYLVANIA
Trump 57% (+14)
Harris 43%
.
NEVADA
Trump 52% (+4)
Harris 48%
.
NORTH CAROLINA
Trump 65% (+30)
Harris 35%
.
GEORGIA
Trump 66% (+32)… https://t.co/4MD0x01o5w pic.twitter.com/CUPstZinU5— Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) November 1, 2024