Forecasters Eye Potential Late Season Hurricane

November 1, 2024 Climate Change, Weather

The Pensacola News-Journal reports:

The National Hurricane Center has increased the chances of a tropical disturbance furthering development in the southwestern Caribbean Sea over the next seven days. A tropical depression could develop over the weekend or early next week as the system drifts into the central or western Caribbean, where conditions will likely be conducive for further strengthening.

Tropical Storm Patty will be the next named storm, should the system continue developing once wind shear shifts and the storm gets into warmer waters. “Next week, most of the wind shear will shift to the north of the Caribbean, and so it will basically create a pocket with high ocean temperatures, plenty of moisture and very low wind shear that will be favorable for tropical development,” said AccuWeather Lead Hurricane Expert Alex DaSilva.

The Palm Beach Post reports:

Normally, November sees the tropics sputtering to a halt. Cold fronts dig into the Gulf of Mexico with shredding winds and dry air that kills anything bubbling in water that’s still warm enough to nurture a storm like an egg in an incubator.

But this year, Caribbean waters are up to 5.4 degrees warmer than normal in some areas, and the Madden-Julian Oscillation, which circles the globe every 30 to 60 days, is unusually intense, said Colorado State University hurricane researcher Phil Klotzbach.

It goaded Hurricane Beryl into Cat 5 infamy in July and spurred five hurricanes to life in 12 days in late September and early October — Helene, Isaac, Kirk, Leslie and Milton.

Here we go again. Maybe!



Tags

© joemygod.com 2024