USA Today reports:
A brewing storm in the Caribbean Sea is forecast to strengthen into a hurricane in the Gulf of Mexico over the next few days and make landfall along the Gulf Coast as early as Thursday − possibly as a major Category 3 system.
“Everyone along the Florida Panhandle and Big Bend region needs to be prepared for hurricane impacts,” AccuWeather Lead Hurricane Expert Alex DaSilva said Monday, adding that the setup has the potential to become the strongest hurricane landfall in the U.S. so far this season.
Most forecast models suggest a hurricane landfall in Florida or the northern Gulf Coast on Thursday, Weather.com meteorologist Jonathan Erdman said.
The Weather Channel reports:
A hurricane watch and tropical storm warning have been issued for parts of Mexico’s Yucatan Peninsula, from just west of Cancún to Tulum, including Cozumel. They are also in effect for parts of western Cuba.
This means tropical storm conditions are expected and hurricane conditions are possible in these areas within the next 36-48 hours.
While computer forecast models suggest the most likely location for a landfall is somewhere from Florida’s Big Bend to the Panhandle, remember that hurricane impacts (surge, winds, rain) often happen far from the center.
This will be Hurricane Helene.
#BREAKING: First cone is out calling for a near major hurricane to make landfall in Florida on Thursday. Highest current probability for landfall is either the Big Bend or Panhandle, but that isn’t set in stone just yet. Next name is #Helene. Stick with @WINKNews for the latest. pic.twitter.com/x8QiQVnw7n
— Matt Devitt (@MattDevittWX) September 23, 2024
Tampa and the West Coast of Florida need to pay close attention to the latest trends with Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine.
Any additional east shifts would mean significantly worse hurricane impacts or even a direct strike, with storm surge being the greatest concern. #flwx 🌀 pic.twitter.com/CCJhGhLFy0
— Dylan Federico (@DylanFedericoWX) September 23, 2024
A system is expected to intensify while it moves northward over the Gulf of Mexico, and it could be a major hurricane when it reaches the Gulf Coast on Thursday. Residents in these areas should monitor forecast updates and ensure that they have their hurricane plan in place. pic.twitter.com/LSNPeOLGhQ
— National Weather Service (@NWS) September 23, 2024
The latest 12z GFS run on #PTC9 has just come out, and it continues to shift further east. Tampa, Fort Myers, basically the entire west coast of #Florida should monitor this closely.#wx #wxtwitter #tropicswx #hurricane #flwx #helene #hurricanehelene https://t.co/XO3LQzmKyX pic.twitter.com/KJAjD110wA
— Florida Storm Chasers (@FLStormChasers_) September 23, 2024