POLL: How Trump’s Conviction Could Swing The Race

NBC News reports:

On the original ballot, Biden and Trump are tied 42%-42% among voters ages 18 to 34. But when these voters are asked about their ballot choice if Trump is convicted, they break for Biden by 15 points, 47%-32%.

Similarly, Latinos go from Trump 42%, Biden 41% on the first ballot — to Biden 45%, Trump 35% on the second one asking the hypothetical question about Trump’s conviction.

And independents shift from a 19-point lead for Trump on the first ballot to a smaller, 8-point edge for Trump on the second. Especially among independents, it’s a dramatic shift. But it’s always unclear how a hypothetical will play out in real life.

Read the full article.

Poll: A slice of Trump supporters say they wouldn’t stick with the former president if he’s convicted of a felony this year, according to the latest NBC News survey.
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— Meet the Press (@MeetThePress) February 4, 2024