NYT Relaunches Its Vaunted “Needle” Forecasting Tool

The New York Times reports:

The needle is an innovative forecasting tool that was created by The Times and debuted in 2016. It is intended to help you understand what the votes tallied so far suggest about possible winners in key contests, before the election is called.

Watching the votes come in on election night can be confusing and hard to follow. Results arrive piecemeal, district by district, county by county, state by state. Worse, those results are often deeply unrepresentative.

That’s why we created the needle, a running forecast of the likely victor. (And when the needle doesn’t know, it will tell you that, too.) It projects the final result based on an analysis of the vote that’s been counted and an estimate of how many votes are still left to be counted.

Read the full article.

trigger warning: the needlehttps://t.co/fuqiZvbUPm

— Christian Paz (@realcpaz) November 8, 2022