Pew 2022 Generic Ballot Shows Dems And GOP Tied

Roll Call reports:

The Pew Research survey showed registered voters split evenly on the “generic ballot,” with 43 percent planning to vote for the Democratic nominee for Congress in November and the same percentage planning to vote for the Republican nominee. Historically, the generic ballot test has underestimated the GOP vote.

The large number of Democratic retirements could also give Republicans additional targets, though that could be offset by a surprisingly good Democratic redistricting cycle. Turnout, of course, is always crucial, and once again the news is not good for Democrats.

The Pew Research Center survey found Republicans are 10 points more likely than Democrats to say that partisan control of Congress “really matters.” That difference in intensity is likely to translate into a significant turnout advantage for the GOP.

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