Analysis: Good News For Democrats On Redistricting

David Wasserman writes at Cook Political Report:

The surprising good news for Democrats: on the current trajectory, there will be a few more Biden-won districts after redistricting than there are now — producing a congressional map slightly less biased in the GOP’s favor than the last decade’s.

The start of 2022 is an ideal time to take stock of the nation’s cartographic makeover. New district lines are either complete or are awaiting certification in 34 states totaling 293 seats — more than two-thirds of the House (this includes the six states with only one seat).

A Cook Political Report with Amy Walter analysis finds that in the completed states, Biden would have carried 161 of 293 districts over Donald Trump in 2020, an uptick from 157 of 292 districts in those states under the current lines (nationwide, Biden carried 224 of 435 seats).

Read the full article.

Wasserman is widely followed on Twitter on election nights for his “I’ve seen enough” calls for the winners.

NEW @CookPolitical: Republicans are still clear favorites in 2022, but there are poised to be perhaps 3-8 *more* Biden-won seats after redistricting than there are now – creating a House map less biased towards the GOP than the past decade’s. https://t.co/PJkHJZ4GGM

— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) January 5, 2022

“So far, Republicans have only gone on offense in Georgia, North Carolina and Ohio [in redistricting]— all of which face court scrutiny.”https://t.co/0VBxYZAdlU

— Josh Kraushaar (@HotlineJosh) January 4, 2022