The undertold story in Washington right now is how Kevin McCarthy’s House Republican minority is likely to thin quite significantly after this election.
Steve Shepard, our election guru, has moved a few Republican incumbents’ seats toward Democrats in his forecast: Reps. Anne Wagner in the St. Louis burbs, Jim Hagedorn in Minnesota and Steve Chabot in the Cincinnati area.
Our over/under is Republicans taking a net loss of seven seats. Dave Wasserman of the Cook Political Report pegged the losses at between five and 15 seats. Here’s a question to ponder: Who in Republican leadership takes the fall if Republicans lose as many as 10 seats?
ICYMI from @CookPolitical‘s new House overview: Dems poised to expand their majority, perhaps by 5-15 seats, as GOP races to avert a Trump-driven catastrophe. https://t.co/9HvHFZ6iU6 pic.twitter.com/GRmIZsdvAi
— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) October 11, 2020