FiveThirtyEight: Dems “Slightly Favored” To Win Senate

September 18, 2020 2020 Elections, Democrats

Mediaite reports:

Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight has forecasted that the Democratic Party will take control of the Senate this year. As of Friday, FiveThirtyEight predicts Democrats “are slightly favored to win the Senate.”

“In 42 in 100 scenarios, Republicans win control,” the site declared, while in “58 in 100 scenarios, Democrats win control.”

“Democrats have an 80% chance of holding between 47 and 54 seats,” they added. In August, FiveThirtyEight gave 2020 Democratic presidential nominee and former Vice President Joe Biden a 71 percent chance of beating President Donald Trump.

Here is a list of where Republicans are most likely to pick up Senate seats: https://t.co/xj2w9L8bDR pic.twitter.com/yF9vYhxxMD

— FiveThirtyEight (@FiveThirtyEight) September 18, 2020

Here is a list of Republican-held seats where Dems have at least a 5% chance of winning in at least one version of our model.

The first dozen are realistic pickup opportunities for Dems.https://t.co/yyoWtu9ye4 pic.twitter.com/HP7Ay1jjBm

— FiveThirtyEight (@FiveThirtyEight) September 18, 2020