Iowa Representative Steve King, last seen blundering into the truth that his version of the Republican Party looks a whole lot like neo-Nazis, may also now have to worry about his chances of reelection in November. According to a new poll by Change Research, King’s challenger J.D. Scholten is only one point away from King in Iowa’s Fourth Congressional District. That’s huge! For reference, a month ago, an Emerson College poll had King up by 10 points over Scholten.
J.D. Scholten @Scholten4Iowa (D) 44
Steve King (R) 45
Movement: 26 points to D (was Trump+27)
Trump won IA-04 by 27 points in 2016; King won by 23 points.
Trump opinion is divided (51% fav, 46% unfav); opinion toward King is quite negative (38% fav, 48% unfav).
— Change Research (@ChangePolls) October 30, 2018
New House ratings changes: #AR02 Lean R to Likely R ⇨#CA01 Solid R to Likely R ⇦#CA22 Solid R to Likely R ⇦#FL18 Likely R to Lean R ⇦#IA04 Likely R to Lean R ⇦#OH01 Toss Up to Lean R ⇨https://t.co/gafyD1mlBm
— CookPoliticalReport (@CookPolitical) October 30, 2018
Another relevant comparison: King’s district has a 538 partisan lean index of R +23, which is exactly the same as Chris Collins’s district (R +23). And a bit less than the state of Alabama (R +27). Ds can compete against very bad candidates in districts like that in a blue year.
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) October 30, 2018
This is amazing. JD Scholten (IA-04) could beat avowed white supremacist Steve King. The needle is moving. I’m clicking https://t.co/GIkduoCQsG so I can ruin a racist’s November. Join me, won’t you? https://t.co/5xfvXaZ3bP
— Patton Oswalt (@pattonoswalt) October 30, 2018
— Nick Weig (@tbweig) October 27, 2018