Hillary Clinton’s lead over Donald Trump has plummeted to just a 2-point margin, according to a new national poll out Saturday conducted even before the FBI director said in a letter to Congress that new evidence had been discovered concerning Clinton’s improper use of a personal email server while secretary of state.
The ABC News/Washington Post tracking poll, which consists of four nights of interviews conducted Monday through Thursday, shows Clinton leading Trump, 47 percent to 45 percent. That’s down from Clinton’s commanding, 12-point lead, 50 percent to 38 percent, in the initial four-night rolling average, which was conducted last Thursday through Sunday. Over that time, Trump has gained 7 percentage points, while Clinton has slipped by a smaller, not-statistically-significant 3-point margin.
Much of the movement is a result of increased enthusiasm among Republicans, even before the latest Clinton news on Friday. In the initial tracking poll, only three-quarters of registered Republicans were classified as likely voters, compared to 81 percent in the most recent poll.
At the same time, Republicans have also come home to Trump: 86 percent of self-identified Republicans say they will vote for Trump, and the GOP nominee also adds 84 percent of Republican-leaning independents.