Poll Predicts Upset Win For GOP In NY-9

A just-released Public Policy poll shows NOM-backed Bob Turner upsetting Assemblyman David Weprin (D) in the race to replace Rep. Anthony Weiner. The election is being closely watched nationwide as a possible bellwether on Obama 2012.

“If Republicans win this race on Tuesday it’s real-world evidence of how unpopular Barack Obama is right now,” said PPP President Dean Debnam. “Approval polls are one thing, but for the GOP to win in a heavily Democratic district like this would send a strong message about how unhappy voters are.” A Siena poll released Friday also found Turner ahead by six points in the battle to replace ex-Rep. Anthony Weiner. The poll from Democratic PPP found Socialist Workers hopeful Christopher Hoeppner at 4% and 7% of voters undecided. PPP surveyed 664 likely NY-9 voters by phone from Sept. 8-11 with a +/-3.8 margin of error. The survey found a surging Turner ahead 32 points, at 58-26, with voters unaffiliated with either major party. He’s also grabbing 29% of the Democratic vote, leaving Weprin under 60% with his own party, while losing just 10% of Republicans.

NOM has deluged the heavily-Jewish district with fliers claiming that Weprin “violated Torah law” by voting for same-sex marriage. The election is tomorrow.