Democrats Lead Generic 2018 Ballot By 14 Points

Public Policy Polling reports:

Things are continuing to look good for Democrats in 2018, as they lead the generic Congressional ballot 49-35. The 14 point lead for Democrats may be too good to be true though- it’s a function of a highly divided Republican base at this point.

While Clinton voters say they’ll vote Democratic for Congress next year 90-4, Trump voters say they will vote Republican by only a 74-13 margin. Part of the reason Republicans have done better than expected in 2014 and 2016 is they were divided earlier in the cycle and came together by the end, we will see if that trend continues in 2018.

A big part of the division among Republicans is being caused by extreme unhappiness with their Congressional leaders, perhaps driven by Donald Trump’s attacks on them. Both Paul Ryan and Mitch McConnell now have the worst numbers we’ve ever seen for them. Only 16% of voters approve of the job Ryan is doing to 62% who disapprove.

A big part of that is even among Trump voters he has only a 30% approval rating with 52% disapproving of him. Ryan comes out looking popular in comparison to McConnell though. His approval rating is just 9%, with 61% of voters disapproving of him.

Among Trump voters he receives just a 15% approval rating to 59% disapproving of him, not all that dissimilar from his 68% disapproval with Clinton voters. The possible pitfall for Trump with the attacks on GOP Congressional leaders is disincentivizing his base to go vote for them next year.

  • FAEN

    I’ll believe it when the Dems win in 2018 and not before.

    • another_steve

      Mueller. We need Mueller’s report by then.

      If it’s as expected, Independents and semi-sane Republicans will abandon the party of Donald Trump.

    • Todd20036

      Agreed. If there’s one thing 2016 taught us, is that polls, even professional ones, don’t mean shit.

      • Paul

        I think IL-GOV 2014 should have been the first sign. Quinn was supposed to win by 1% according to the RCP averages. Rauner won by 5%.

    • james1200

      It’s also the distribution of votes that matters, so that lead is misleading for that reason. Even if I knew that lead was real, I’d still be terrified because the one thing Dems know how to do well is how to lose elections .

    • Not looking good so far for the Dems. Wouldn’t count on this.

      • FAEN

        No I don’t count on polls anymore but it’s also important to not give up and not give in. We have to keep pushing.

    • ElenorRigby

      It’s not enough. Republicans have gerrymandered districts so harshly that democrats would have to win by nearly 35% to actually win back the house. It’s not possible. We’re fucked.

      • No, 35% isn’t correct. Yes, they’ve gerrymandered to get a great advantage, but most pundits say a Democratic wave of +8 would overcome that, not +35. Even the most conservative estimates say +14 would be enough.

        • Exactly. The problem for Republicans with gerrymandering is that what they’ve done in most states is put as many Democrats as they could in one district and divided up the rest of the state. But that often means that their majorities are not that great in many of those districts. If Democrats had won every Congressional district that Hillary carried, they’d be in the majority in the House right now. Just barely, but in the majority. In some of those district there was NO DEMOCRAT ON THE BALLOT. That’s negligence. I want someone like Howard Dean running the DNC. It doesn’t have to be him but someone who gets that we have to run candidates everywhere because in some cases we didn’t even try and could have won if we had.

      • FAEN

        I don’t think we’re fucked. A lot can happen and it’s important to keep fighting.

    • BJORN RAGNVALDR

      Exactly, that lead is just enough for them to fuck it up!

    • Jeffg166

      Thank you.

    • JCF

      We have to WORK for that!!!

      dscc.org : for Dems in Senate.

      dccc.org : for Dems in House

  • bkmn

    What would really cement the lead is if Trump shuts down the government and Social Security checks don’t go out for a month or two.

    • Bad Tom

      It would be novel.

    • Vista-Cruiser

      What would really eliminate the lead is if a terrorist attack occurs on American soil. No doubt that the Republicans are fully aware of this.

  • Ninja0980

    That’s nice but there’s still too much time left to celebrate.
    Not to mention there will be roadblocks to voting and people in our base that will be mad that someone is only 95% pure and not 100% and stay home.
    And no matter how well we do in the House races, the Senate map next year is brutal.
    If Democrats only lose three to four seats, that will be a good night for us.
    I know some folks don’t want to hear that but that is the truth.
    Until we win, these polls mean nothing at all.

    • Xiao Ai: The Social Gadfly

      I’ll be happy if we’re not all dead. Baby steps.

    • Uncle Mark

      True…these numbers can change overnight, but with this Nazi Presidency the Republicans have been watching their numbers erode a little every day. The shitgibbon even threatened to shutdown the gov’t, if he doesn’t get what he wants. (Which side do you suppose that would hurt politically?) Be assured that while we watch these numbers, so do the Republicans. Twitler & the GOP have not been the “happy” marriage they expected…and certainly those celebrating that marriage have found it devoid of its promises.

      Wait ’til Mueller’s findings come out, as the GOP struggles to pick a time to abandon the SS Twitler before they’re dragged down. In the meantime, we have video footage of Sycophant Ryan trying to defend the shitgibbon at his townhall, because “being offended by racism and demanding better from the President is partisan.” The GOP are stuck with this shitting, kicking & screaming tar baby; they will not escape unscathed

      • Randy503

        We can only hope that the Republicans will be a stupid as OUR base was last year. So many turned against Clinton because she wasn’t “pure” enough for them — not liberal enough, her emails, ties to wall street, and all that other crap, so they stayed home or voted for those idiotic third parties. We all know that’s a huge reason we lost.

        So let’s hope that the Republicans now do the same things and vote against their usual winners because they aren’t pure enough.

        For 2012, we should be recruiting someone as a third party candidate who will take votes away from the mainstream republicans. We need Bannon to run for President, or that kid Stephen Miller, on the Breitbart ticket. That will divide the conservative vote and we sail in.

        If they don’t run, we might need one of our guys to pretend to be conservative and take one for the team. Conservatives are easily fooled — so long as you blab the right thing and pray to Jesus, you can hoodwink enough of them to get their vote. The candidate just needs to peel off 10% their vote to help us win.

  • Bluto

    Not to worry, the dems will find some way to spinelessly, milquetoastestly fuck it up.

    • Xiao Ai: The Social Gadfly

      And blame anything but, the DNC.

      • liondon#iamnotatraitor

        It the voters fault.

        • Xiao Ai: The Social Gadfly

          Now THAT’s a refreshingly, honest response!

    • Paul

      The Dems can’t repeat the “tea party” mistake of 2010-14.

      If a Democrat in rural Georgia is pro-life and pro-gun (including pro-assault weapon), VOTE FOR HIM/HER if you’re a Democrat! If s/he wants to save social security and stop mass deportations, that should be enough for ANY Dem!

  • Michael R

    I’m moving to a magical land where polls matter .

    • Stephen Elliot Phillips

      And right now we are all trapped in covfefestan. The land that time forgot

  • another_steve

    Something to help center my beautiful sisters and brothers reading here, as we prepare for another day of Trump horror.

    A lovely choral rendition of Sara Teasdale’s “There Will Come Soft Rains.”

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vt5B16BRi4M

    • Robincho

      Mighty whitey, them Waconians…

      • ETownCanuck

        Well, it IS a Christian University after all. I’m sure the Mexican Americans are all given a completely fair shake in regards to admission. /s

        • another_steve

          I once read a definition of ‘racism’ that I think is apt.

          Racism is when a person reads ‘race’ into everything – even when and where it does not belong.

          • ETownCanuck

            Ya, our comments were probably a little uncalled for as they have no bearing on the beauty of the piece.

  • HZ81

    Don’t worry. The purity-loving “voters of conscience” will fuck it up for everyone again. Trust.

  • I have great faith in the ability of Democrats to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory.

    They really need to get their act together.

    • another_steve

      I know! Let’s run Bernie Sanders again!

      /snark

      • Reality.Bites

        I hope he is not merely not running, but completely out of public life and making no comments of any kind in 2018.

  • The_Wretched

    good but that’s barely the margin needed to cover the 5-10% gerrymandering and other election manipulations that give Republicans a win when they tie or lose the popular votes. And named Dems do worse than the generic Dem in polls (usually).

  • bambinoitaliano

    Few predicted the shit gibbon will ever get elected. What we need now is to stay vigilant and not be smug about the dumpster fire thats is happening with the shit gibbon admin and the GOP.

  • bambinoitaliano
    • elvigy

      Everything, absolutely 100%, of what Donald Trump says is projection.

      • JCF

        And/or an outright LIE.

  • Publius

    I hate to be that guy, but Democrats usually do lead in national polls. But obviously our Congressional elections are not actual national elections. A more useful poll would be a poll of the decisive electoral districts. But this, well, isn’t cause for any kind of celebration.

    • jerry

      Even with gerrymandering, above a 10% national lead would normally mean they would win the House. But, this is before actual candidates are in place in the specific districts. When they actually poll people, it seems everybody hates congress and the job they’re doing, but their own representative seems OK.

  • Tawreos

    It doesn’t matter what Ryan and McConnell’s approval numbers are, as other polls show that approve or not republican voters will still vote for them.

  • Jonathan Smith
  • bambinoitaliano
  • teedofftaxpayer

    You can poll all you want but if the Democrats doesn’t get off their asses and vote, we’re stuck with the hate party.

    • Tomcat

      Really think we are the party of hate? You have not been paying attention.

      • Todd20036

        Teedoff is calling the GOP the hate party. I don’t disagree with that.

        • Tomcat

          Now that you pointed that out I see it that way.
          My apologies to teedoff.

          • Tomcat

            And thank you Todd for pointing that out to me.

      • teedofftaxpayer

        If you’re part of the Republican Party then you’re a Party of Hate.

        • Tomcat

          Yes I understand your post now. It was pointed out to me earlier by another poster. I apologized once today to you but I see it has somehow disappeared, so please accept my apology now.

          • teedofftaxpayer

            Not a problem, happens to me too.

  • Professor Barnhardt

    This just in from Eugene Delgaudio:

    California School Board Forcing Sex Changes On Kindergarten children Without Parents Knowing

    http://www.publicadvocateusa.org/news/article.php?article=11078

    • Tomcat

      Are they peeking or just strip checking them to determine the sex they should be. Either way seems to be pervy.

    • Bad Tom

      That’s not even what the Daily Caller article alleges. Eugene is such a tool.

  • Tomcat

    Every time you guys start with the BS that Democrats have NO MESSAGE I am going to post this comment.
    OT: Do democrats have a message or not, you decide
    Which party’s message is the following?
    Women’s right to control their own bodies.
    Right to free birth control.
    Right to marry same sex or opposite sex.
    Right to use bathroom of you true sex.
    Right to come out without fear of reprisal.
    Right of same sex couples to adopt children.
    Right to expect good health care from our country.
    Right to clean safe air, water, foods and grounds.
    Right to progress to renewable energy.
    Right to join the world in stopping global warming.
    Right to make a living wage.
    Right of gays to work without reprisal.
    Right to have a word in the work place.
    Right to worship or not without reprisal.
    Right to be free from religious created laws anywhere in USA.
    Right to keep our Federal and State parks oil free.
    Right to have honest and free elections.
    Right for gays to serve in military without reprisal.
    Right to honest education and free public education.
    Right to have a racist, bigoted FREE government.
    Feel free to add your message to mine and stop saying Democrats have NO message please.

    • Tomcat

      No we don’t have a message,,, we have dozens of them.

    • Jonathan Smith

      and if they could just ARTICULATE ONE

      • Tomcat

        What the F is wrong with you, these are all good messages and you want just one. Why don’t you check and see if there is an app for that?

        • Jonathan Smith

          because saying “i want this,this,this,this.this and on and on and on” is NOT a MESSAGE that will resonate.
          “I will do this to make THAT happen” is.
          WTF is wrong with my party that they can’t get THAT right?

        • Cackalaquiano

          The party can’t have a complex, nuanced message. Voters have the attention span of a gnat. Short soundbytes, over and over.

          • Tomcat

            So basically you are saying Democrats are STUPID and need a four to six word jingle to get them to vote.
            I am ready to give up on you fools completely.

          • Jonathan Smith

            bye.

          • Tomcat

            Oh I am not going anywhere I am staying for the shitshow.

          • Tomcat

            How about this one,,, Facts don’t matter, just good jingles.

          • Jmdintpa

            Now your getting it. The day of people caring about real issues is basically over. I dont like it but its reality. We dont have to ignore the facts but we have to simple ( dumb) down the message.

          • Tomcat

            So you admit intelligence is no longer important in your country, just play, play, play. Well good luck with that.

          • Cackalaquiano

            Yes! Enough independents are. That’s precisely why we’re going to lose if Dems don’t get this right.
            This. Is. Reality.
            We have to play the game as it is, not as it should be.

          • Tomcat

            So you expect to get Independents to switch to your party by calling them STUPID, Lets see where that gets you?

          • Cackalaquiano

            Of course I wouldn’t suggest the Dem Party call them stupid to their face, but the bottom line is they voted for Trump. Dems can’t win without them, so figure out how to talk to them.

          • Tomcat

            Yet that is exactly what you think of them. Why would they want to be like YOU. Independents pride themselves on looking at both sides and deciding for themselves.
            They don’t care to be considered stupid by either side.

          • Reality.Bites

            Tomcat is not coming from the perspective of someone who wants to help Democrats. Any advice he might give has as its end goal to hurt everyone but Trump.

          • Cackalaquiano

            I dunno, I think it may just be a fundamental misunderstanding of basic branding and marketing principles.

          • Tomcat

            And this is NOT a game, sooner that gets learned the better.

          • Jmdintpa

            EXACTLY… the american electorate is basically STOOPID… real messages do not work anymore. We need soundbites, jingles and short pretty messages. Its horrible I agree but we can either realize the truth and work with it and maybe just maybe win something or keep losing. The electorate is very very stupid. Keep it very very stupid for them.

          • Tomcat

            Children!!!!!

          • Uncle Mark

            I’ve often noticed that Republicans ALWAYS have simplistic policies that could fit on a bumper sticker…and do often end up there. Their base thinks everything can be reduced into simple concepts and phrases. (Why should anyone require advanced degrees? That’s for elitists /s).

            They don’t want to hear complexities. Such complexities require effort to learn, and sometimes the complexities go over their heads and make them feel stupid. They want someone that makes them feel good about themselves, and shares their gut feelings…or at least mouths that to them. Because, if it turns out that they once again picked a bad candidate, that also makes them feel stupid, so instead of learning from their mistakes, they turn a blind eye & ear; the ego feels so much better that way with less effort and evaluation.

          • BJORN RAGNVALDR

            I don’t think he was calling Democrats stupid so much as the majority of the electorate suffer the same human condition we have come to live by, Democrats, Independents, Republican alike are living in a sound byte world, like it or not. Complex messaging no matter how on point and significant it may be are lost on most people these days, everything does need to be made a sound bytes repeated over and over, that’s how Rethugs convinced enough people that they were better for them as they were undermining their very lives.
            Democrats may be more educated, compassionate, reasonable people (in general, I think) but we suffer the same conditioning by and large. Democrats do not do well selling their message, they want to try middle of the road to try to bring moderate rethugs into their tent and not upset them too much.
            The fact that the Republican congress cut the State departments security budget two years in a row prior to Benghazi should have been made a mantra shoved and implanted into every Americans head over and over.
            That’s what frustrates us.

          • jsmukg

            This, and your next comment, a thousand times. However, I’m afraid that only fascist dog whistles like Make AmurriKKKa HATE again qualify as proper slogans now….

          • We need to pick 5-6 items that poll at least 60% with likely voters. Things Republicans are against but most people are for. Talk about those. All day, every day. And into the night. Every time they’re in front of a camera, talk about those items. If Republicans want to talk about something else, tough shit. Stay on message. We know what works. The question is why Democrats don’t do it.

    • Tawreos

      The only one they seem to spread though is “We are not them”

      • Tomcat

        Pray tell what does that tell people in rural America?
        I would have no idea what you stood for from that.

        • Tawreos

          Exactly!

        • Cackalaquiano

          They’ve got to brand the Party better than this. It’s like they’re trying to sell a product by sitting in the warehouse with their inventory, waiting on buyers to come to them.
          Get out there, get every legislator on point, with a unified message. And message #1 MUST be jobs/economy. No exception.
          That’s what Americans want to hear. Dems have the policies, but they’re not selling the message in a way that resonates beyond the beltway.

      • Cackalaquiano
        • Tomcat

          How about just say we are the clickish party?

    • Uncle Mark

      Since Republicans allegedly care about the economy, they need to be reminded that the economy flourished under Democratic President Bill Clinton and that Democratic President Obama saved our economy from the 2008 crash. Democrats are proven as being GOOD for the economy and for jobs !!

      • Lumpy Gaga

        As Bill Clinton said, on economic issues, “If you want to live like a Republican, vote like a Democrat”.

        But, penises on the right hand and purity on the left, so fuck that, amirite?

      • Paul

        There’s also nuance to it, though. The GOP controlled the Congress for most of their presidencies. Just as the Dems controlled the Congress for the majority of Ike’s and Reagan’s presidencies.

        The truth is always somewhere in the middle.

    • m_lp_ql_m

      Well, I guess the Dems DO have a message after all. Who’d’a’thunk? Good! We can all rest on our laurels now, cuz there’s nothing left to do. We got this one, 2018 here we come. Where’s the vodka?

      • Tomcat

        I sense sarcasm. So where is your great ideas? Or are you here for shits and giggles?

        • Uncle Mark

          I think m_lp_ql_m’s point is that the Democrats seem to be quite remiss in shouting their beliefs to the rafters. There is a curious silence on their part right now, while our Nazi President continues to lie and divide this country with his toxic hate. Now, I do realize that there are several philosophies playing out right now. Some are keeping their powder dry, until Mueller discredits the shitgibbon and the complicit GOP…and others will stand back and let the GOP and Twitler tear each other apart and not offer them a DNC target for them to ally over…but there are loyal Democratic constituents here, who are very much concerned that the hushed voices of the Democrats imply a lack of leadership. This last part is what I think greatly concerns m_lp_ql_m

    • CottonBlimp

      You know why people think Democrats don’t stand for anything? Because the Democratic party has just become the party for anyone who wants to actually govern. That’s the *only* unifying principle for a party that includes everyone from Joe Manchin to Elizabeth Warren. People don’t think the Dems stand for one specific idea because the Dem party includes a huge spectrum of ideas, because the opposition, the GOP, now literally stands for nothing besides lies, ignorance, and theft.

  • Treant

    So D+14 means we only lose the House by 10 seats with all the gerrymandering, right?

    • Gustav2

      That was my first thought, and there will be no changes in the party representation from Ohio.

  • Cackalaquiano

    Do. Not. Believe. This.
    The DNC needs to get off its ass and start selling the Democratic message throughout the country. I see nothing but flailing about at the national level, and I have zero confidence Dems will pull 2018 off.
    Sorry to be so pessimistic. Convince me I’m wrong.

  • Statistics Palin

    Voting for Republicans is like having sex with one’s pets. More people than one might suspect do it. Fewer people admit to it.

  • Rex

    This could all change tomorrow.
    We could also all be dead tomorrow.
    I’m a “the glass is totally empty and smashed into a 1000 pieces” kinda guy.

    • Treant

      Think of how the House seats will have to reapportioned once dipshit gets all population centers nuked!

      • Todd20036

        Not if cockroaches get congressional representation

        • Reality.Bites

          You mean instead of actual seats in congress?

  • The Milkman

    Completely ridiculous to start prognosticating at this point. Things change with our electorate on a daily basis.

    • Lumpy Gaga

      Yes. We complain about Drumpf starting his campaign early. The pollsters are out like hookers on a busy corner.

  • CanuckDon

    Muahahaha…our evil plan is working! Getting Trump to agree to run for the GOP was genius. He’s convinced all of his supporters that he’s a rightwinger but he’s there to destroy them. Pass it on! Let his supporters know on Facebook….a place they trust for news.

  • Butch

    I’m still waiting, without much hope, for the Democrats to start capitalizing on all the massive fuckups in the Trump administration. Where are they? Why are they so quiet? We can’t win this way.

  • bambinoitaliano
    • Lazycrockett

      I loved those two together.

      • Adam King

        I hope they do a Heroes for Hire miniseries.

    • Jonathan Smith

      works for me…….

    • ByronK

      Who wouldn’t…

    • Todd20036

      Oh, that would get me hard.
      But he’d deserve to feel awkward if that happened.

    • Adam King

      Mike Colter is the hots.

    • Ken M

      Both Mike and Finn. Got to love the immortals..Iron Fist, must come in handy..no pun intended.

    • BJORN RAGNVALDR

      I’m thinking spit roast and I’m the pig…..

  • Lazycrockett

    Doesn’t matter if we cant get these dems to the polls in a mid term.

  • liondon#iamnotatraitor

    The Dems have an opportunity to take back all branches of the government but I have know idea what their message is.

    • Ben in Oakland

      Neither do they

  • Jeffrey

    Means absolutely nothing to me. Fuck the polls, we have a lot of work to do.

  • Vista-Cruiser

    When you consider that (a) Most Republican members of Congress are in safe Republican districts, and (b) Democrats almost always sit out midterm elections, Democrats really aren’t in the lead at all.

    Not until this supposed “Democratic lead” reaches 25 percentage points will we be starting to get somewhere.

  • aagold76 .

    all nice to see- BUT- Dems and Independents historically don’t turn out for mid terms….everyone down on party needs to remember- just 8 years ago- Dems had 59 in the Senate and Majority in House- mostly because of Bush’s fuck ups- so there is hope.

    • picalane

      I think we had those majorities 8 yrs. ago because of Obama. He was young, fresh, and inspirational, so the voters turned out. Dems. don’t have any moral obligation or social institutions like churches to get out and vote against abortions and queers. We need a more left-leaning DNC, along w/ a more inspirational pres. candidate.

  • Jmdintpa

    I guess Im Debbie Downer but I fully expect Republicans to take even more seats in the mid terms. Dems have a history of bad mid term turn out, they seem to be lost in the message right now, and here in FL they always run generic lackluster candidates. I say this gets much much worse after the mid terms.

    • Adam King

      I wouldn’t be surprised.

    • Vista-Cruiser

      No, you’re just being Debbie Realistic.

  • Ben in Oakland

    The headline and $3 will buy you a cup of coffee at Starbucks,

    • Lumpy Gaga

      Get a large iced. You’ll get a nickel back.

      • m_lp_ql_m

        Hehe, you said ‘Nickelback.’

        • Reality.Bites

          Lumpy Gaga is why we can’t have nice things. 😉

  • Tomcat

    You guys will buy a phone that has a half inch user manual but insist you need 4 to 6 word slogan to figure out who to vote for,,, shameful.

    • Adam King

      “You guys”? Whom are you addressing?

      • Tomcat

        The guys that will buy a phone that has a half inch user manual and insist they need a 4 to 6 word slogan to figure out who to vote for,,,like my comment said. If this is not you then disregard it.

  • DisqusD37

    Alright, Dems… the time has come for you to Lip Sync, FOR. YOUR. LIVES.
    …and, too late, you’ve already fvkced it up.

  • juanjo54

    Generic polls like this do not mean much. People tend to vote for the incumbent in their district which means the majority in the House especially is pretty safe at this point. Especially instates like Texas where redistricting has meant that despite having a majority of Democratic voters the districts are drawn to ensure Republicans dominate in the majority of districts.

  • abqdan

    These are meaningless polls, keeping pollsters in work, and not adding any real insight. The fact is, the DNC still hasn’t come up with a decent message, and the candidates still look weak. It’s time to stop relying on Trump screwing things up, and get out there and start convincing voters by promoting a strong progressive platform that will show them why they should vote Democrat, not why they should vote against the Republican.

    • SoCalGal20

      Which candidates look weak? Randy Bryce running against Paul Ryan? Mike Levin running against Darrell Issa? Because they’re doing what they need to be doing.

      I think a lot of voters are doing what I’m doing right now and that is finding Dem candidates to support on our own and sending contributions directly to them from Act Blue, rather than sending money to the DCCC or DNC or whatever. I honestly couldn’t give a shit about the national party at the moment, tbh. These campaigns need to be run locally anyway. Hopefully the DNC will get some decent ads on the air at some point.

      • abqdan

        I agree that the only way forward at the moment is local support through Act Blue and local campaigns. That’s a problem; because the media will turn to the DNC as the representative body for Democrats, when it really isn’t – it still reflects the old guard, the old way of thinking. I wish a new party was viable, but failing that, we can do what the tea party did, and build a sufficient block in Congress of progressives that the establishment is unable to govern without their support.

  • Highmoremotel

    My party will screw it up. They always do. Time for some new leadership.

    • Ross

      No, they don’t always do.

  • drtrmiller

    Dems lead by 14 points? Great, we’ll only be a couple members short of a majority! Thanks, gerrymandering.

    • Vista-Cruiser

      Yes, but that gerrymandering happened because Democrats sat out the 2010 elections.

  • boobert

    After this past election , it’s difficult to believe polls.

    • M Jackson

      Speaking a little bit of Russian helps.

  • Kelly Lape

    With Gerrymandering the GOP will still have the house.

    • Adam King

      We’re going to have to get used to living in a Russian-style, single-party, kleptocratic, plutocratic oligarchy. The Republican minority party has used gerrymandering, voter suppression, propaganda, corruption and outright cheating to hand the butchered remains of American democracy over to nationless corporations and the super-rich.

      • Kelly Lape

        Demographically we’ve known for decades that the Caucasian “race” will become a “minority” in the United States. “Minority” being we’re still the most populous “racial” group just less than 50%.

        It has been an item of contention as to how the “white” minority would deal with the new reality. Sadly we see that too many of “us” are willing to embrace the methods and goals of the Nazi Party in order to retain power. This isn’t pathetic, it’s treason to the US Constitution and every Republican Politician embracing this “tactic” belongs tied to a pole with a blindfold and a cigarette just like the Nazis before them.

  • Jean-Marc in Canada
    • Reality.Bites

      What also matters is that none of those people are ever going to read it here.

      There’s no one here like that who isn’t a troll. They aren’t here to be convinced. They’re here to divide and demoralize us.

      • Jean-Marc in Canada

        Agreed, but it’s still an important message. I also posted it on twitter, several regressive left blogs and the like. True, they see it as trolling, but you never know. I know, I know, I should start signing, “I am I, Don Quixote, The Lord of la Mancha…”

  • aar9n

    But what if the canidates sent some emails and aren’t liberal enough

    • The_Wretched

      what if unverifiable voting machines remain in many districts?
      what if the courts are hostile to recount efforts?
      what if the ‘cross check on steroid’ kris kobach ‘voter fraud’ efforts disenfranchise millions of people, especially blacks?
      what if the nearly 2/3rd of States that are republican controlled close 50% of polling stations in minority dominant geographys?
      what if violations of election laws are punished (if at all) by fines or minimal jail time for single underlings?
      what if candidates with negative approval ratings are run?
      what if a party has no positive message?
      what if the media pushes a ‘horse race’ rather than covering issues?
      what if private parties (like tv shows) sit on tapes that fairly depict one candidate?
      what if political rivals are handed top notch oppo research but never use it?
      what if felons can’t vote and there is a systemic effort to make black people felons?
      what if hispanic people are scared into staying home via threats of deportation if they show up?
      what if idiots on comment blogs insist on focusing on tribal flagging points instead of the many real and important issues?

      • aar9n

        What if infighting and self Righteous Uber libs tank the party with purity obsession.

        • The_Wretched

          i assume you’re trolling. kthxbye

          • aar9n

            It’s ok hunny. Run along now

      • Vista-Cruiser

        You STILL don’t give up. You volunteer on a Democratic campaign, you VOTE, and you get all of your like-minded friends to vote.

  • lymis

    And since the current administration has done absolutely nothing about the Russian influence in the last election, there’s no indication they won’t have as much or more in the next one.

    • Ross

      THIS is my big worry.

  • Ken M

    Get back to me with an update next year at this time.

  • Ross

    From Electoral-Vote.com

    Democrats Have Done Very Well in Special Elections This Year

    There have been 30 special elections in 2017, five for the U.S. House and 25 for state legislative seats. While past performance is no guarantee of future performance, as they say, it does give us a possible clue to the 2018 midterms. Before looking at this year’s data, we note that the president’s party has lost House seats in 18 of the 20 most recent midterms, with an average loss of 33 seats. If the 2017 special elections are any indication, the Republicans could take a real beating in the midterms, as expected from the historical data.

    In both the congressional races and the state legislative races, the Democrat did 16 points better than the historical average for the district. In some extremely red districts, such as GA-06 and KS-04, the Democrat’s gain was even bigger, but not enough to overcome the partisan balance of the district. Also, all these races were open seats, though. In 2018, most seats will not be open.

    Nevertheless, a shift of even half of 16 points would be a tectonic shift. Such a shift is even plausible. The most recent generic congressional ballot puts the Democrats ahead 41% to 33%. Of course, it is a long ways to Nov. 2018 and candidates matter, but if the Democrats can keep up their energy and Republicans are depressed by the inability of Congress to enact its program, an 8-point shift towards the Democrats could certainly happen. That would flip dozens of seats and give Democrats control of the House.

    • Vista-Cruiser

      I’m tired of moral victories. We need a bunch of real ones for a change.

  • David

    It doesn’t matter. The US has apartheid style Congressional districts. The House is rigged for white republicans.

    I’m a Democrat from Georgia. Do I think that my vote (on a flimsy Diebolt voting machine) is even counted? Maybe….probably not.

  • andrew

    So many of the States have gerrymandered their U.S. House Districts to make them safe for Republicans that it will take a huge shift in voting for the Democrats to retake control of the House in 2018. In the Senate the Democrats and 2 Independents only need to pick up 3 seats to take control of that body. However of the 33 seats that will be contested in 2018, the Dems and Inds will be attempting to hold 25 of them. The Republicans only have 8 to defend. That is an extremely difficult task.

  • Clive Johnson

    The Democrats could be even higher if they wanted to be, but in order to do this they have to offer a positive vision of the country and spell out what’s on their agenda.

    However, if they continue to speak in generalities, if they continue to limit their messaging to ‘We’re not those guys’, they’re tossing away a huge opportunity.

    So far I’m not seeing that the Democrats understand this.

  • penpal

    Keep dreaming. Dems lose midterms because Dem voters are complacent and lazy.

    • The_Wretched

      bugger off

      The system is rigged to create unnecessary burdens and the poor and middle classes have a much harder time surmounting them. I don’t see you commenting on methods to make voting easier or helping them get to registered and to the polls.

      • Vista-Cruiser

        Yes, Republicans have put up hurdles to voting. But I’m concerned that people are increasingly using those hurdles as excuses for not even TRYING to vote.

        Two things everyone can do to help the poor and middle classes surmount these hurdles: (1) volunteer on a Democratic campaign and (2) donate to voteriders.org.

  • FYI, remember that the 2016 districts were just as gerrymandered as the 2018 ones will be. Yes, in GOP-controlled states there may be more efforts to purge minorities from voting rolls and engage in other voter suppression efforts. There will also be changing demographics favoring Democrats as Latino baby booms of a decade or two ago produce new voters, and also greater anti-Trump motivation than 2016.

    But flipping the House is achievable. Democrats need to win a net gain of 24 seats. There are 27 where the incumbent won by less than 14 points, and another 9 where Clinton won, but Dems didn’t put up a strong challenger to the incumbent GOP House member.

    Yes, good candidates and good campaigns are critical. But Democrats have already begun assembling the strongest slates is recent memory. Over 200 nonincumbent Democrats have already filed.

    I’m not saying we should get complacent. It will be hard work. But it is absolutely achievable. Don’t let the doom-and-gloomers demotivated you.

  • Bill Castellani

    Seems that Dems just have to say over and over and over and over: Democrats want to keep Social Security. Republicans want to eliminate it. Over and over and over. Because it is true.

  • If we show up and vote. Also, if you have problems with voter suppression call your local Democratic office (or one of any public advocacy groups) so they can file a suit.

  • Travis Morrow

    Democrats win imaginary race held in Fantasy Land.

  • MarkBuster

    Looks good on the surface, but i have faith that Pelosi and her kind will find a way to blow it

  • Paul

    Polls don’t vote. People do.