Bookmakers Up Impeachment Odds To 56%

Inverse Culture reports:

Donald Trump is the President of the United States. But if oddsmakers are right, there’s a good chance that he won’t hold office for that long. There are many reasons Trump could be impeached or resign before his first term ends. As of March 27, Trump’s odds of leaving office before his first term have increased to 4/5.

“I think it’s a reaction to continued probes into Russian influence plus the health care bill failure,” Matthew Shaddick, head of political betting at the UK betting house Ladbrokes, tells Inverse in an email. Shaddick says that means there is now a 56 percent chance of Trump’s impeachment.

If some of the allegations in the somewhat recently published leaked memo about possible Russian blackmail material over Trump are true, that would be an impeachable offense; no, not the golden shower part (Article One isn’t out to kink-shame) but the treason part. If Trump is proven to have been in contact with the Russian government and is letting Vladimir Putin overtly shape American policy, that could be reason enough for him to get the boot.

  • AtticusP
    • another_steve

      Nice.

      Goes well with his skin color.

      • JDS

        It’s to good for him. Guantanamo suits him better.

        • SilasMarner

          Yes!!!

        • bzrd

          He wants to put more people in there, let him be the first

        • TheThruster

          Well, he does love waterboarding. So there’s that.

          • Aprilvhurst

            Google is paying 97$ per hour! Work for few hours & have longer with friends and family! !dh240c:
            On tuesday I got a great new Land Rover Range Rover from having earned $8752 this last four weeks.. Its the most-financialy rewarding I’ve had.. It sounds unbelievable but you wont forgive yourself if you don’t check it
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      • Todd Allis

        He could hide pretty well standing in front of it.

    • j.martindale

      Imagine! It has walls with barbed wire, too. Fulfilling campaign promises, one unforced error after another.

    • wide_stance_hubby

      And if he sucks his gut in enough, all of his ass might fit.

  • Treant
  • bkmn

    The only reason he hasn’t been impeached already is the GOP is scared that if they impeach him they will lose the support of his base forever. https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/56654f310297f8700fa515a675639ce01681b8dd0682853aca98c53f1793a304.jpg

    • ceeenbee

      All of the above. That’s exactly what they want.

    • All of the above. Have you not been paying attention?

    • Steverino

      Notice WE are not mentioned… which means we are supposed to be invisible and unmentionable again.

      • Timothy W.

        As confirmed by the coming 2020 census.

      • cleos_mom

        Closeted or dead. That’s what the GOP and “God’s People” want.

    • Jeffg166

      Good times.

    • David Walker

      Black and white TV. No mobile phones…at all. Manual typewriters and carbon paper. DDT. Y’all have fun.

      • cleos_mom

        Other than the DDT that doesn’t sound half bad. And you’re hearing this from a veteran of Playing In The Poisoned Fog at the drive-in.

        EDITED TO ADD: OK, carbon paper was all that bad. An invention of the devil if there ever was one.

    • Queequeg

      Don’t forget pesticides, dirty water and dirty air.

    • JCF

      “Cult 45”

  • PickyPecker
  • Rex

    I’m more inclined to think of Trump’s presidency like another game of chance – craps.

    • Mark Née Fuzz

      I think of it as cow chip tossing.

      • Adam King

        In the White House that’s called fine dining.

    • missmobtown

      Russian Roulette?

      • Sissy Spacedout

        I thought you were supposed to use revolvers for that.

        I’m sure the ‘game’ that Trump’s playing has been with a semi-auto.

        • TuuxKabin

          Fully loaded revolver for hell beast.

          • Sissy Spacedout

            That’s what I should have said.

            I didn’t think you were supposed to use fully loaded revolvers for that game.

          • TuuxKabin

            We’re not, but for hell beast and his lot . . .

          • bzrd

            gold bullets ?

          • TuuxKabin

            I won’t be playing, so which ever. =;o)

  • Superman

    President Mike Pence and “Mother” Karen? Break out your Bibles. Fornication and Blasphemy make Jesus cry.

    • Adam King

      If Pence weren’t up to his eyeballs in the treason cover-up.

      • Jeffg166

        Paul Manafort made sure he was on the ticket for Putin. Pence is just as guilty.

      • Lantor

        That leaves us with President Ryan. We are all familiar with his fantastic ideas. /s

    • Mark Née Fuzz

      Impeach Trump first, then we work on Pence.

      • Adam King

        No reason they can’t do both at once.

        • Tawreos

          And have Paul Ryan as President?

          • Adam King

            Fuck.

      • james1200

        After the whole “not dining with a woman not his wife” thing, it should be very clear that Mike Pence is right out of The Handmaid’s Tale. I think I am now more frightened of him than Trump.

        • jimbo65

          I know right? Gives the implications that he has rapey tendencies.

          • james1200

            It gives the implication he’s a religious extremist fucktard, who’s going to round our gay asses up.

    • Derrick Johns

      LOL I was thinking the same thing. Get rid of Trump and you get the Indiana Undertaker. Praise the Lord!

    • Andymac3

      Pence started his career with fraud, so he is knee deep in this one too, he was put forward by Manafort for the VP position. But his homophobia/mysogyny is so strong, he’s bound to be fingers deep in something else far less surprising. https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/75c351af5be9ba8d43adeed26a02791b9d03ba73c94c007ed4971a4632c27899.gif

    • Jerry
  • kmcdevitt

    “Could” be enough?

  • Bob Conti

    Can I lay down a bet against him at Trump Casino in Vegas?

    • Andrew Stevens

      No Trump Casino in Las Vegas, Bob…a hotel tower, yes, but the standards of ethics to operate a casino in Nevada were too high for Donald Trump to qualify for a gambling license.

      • Bob Conti

        Thanks for the correction, I honestly had no idea. How in hell does a hotel apart from Motel 6, survive in Vegas without a casino? I guess it’s the namesake’s charm that acts as a magnet.

  • Mark Née Fuzz

    With a corresponding increase in the odds on a Reichstag fire.

  • Macbill

    From your mouth to my Perfect Pasta!

  • Butch

    As long as the GOP continues to put party over country and conscience the probability unfortunately is zero.

  • Pollos Hermanos
  • Michael R

    This would be a great time to release the Russian pee hooker video .
    Hint Hint !

  • The only way the GOP impeaches Trump in the next 18 months is if Tea Partiers show up at their Congressman’s office and demand it and that is not going to happen. He’s the asshole in chief they always wanted. The more of an asshole he is, the more they love him. He will only be impeached if Democrats take back both houses of Congress in 2018 and I am not counting on that. Hoping, but not all that optimistic.

    • TexasBoy

      Unless he’s caught in an affair with a man, or says God is a hoax. They couldn’t ever forgive that.

      • Steverino

        Or is caught lying under oath about getting a blow job from a female WH intern, because you know, they are TOTALLY down on that as being the ultimate impeachable offense.

      • Derrick Johns

        I don’t know, TexasBoy. The pee videos maybe? No.

  • james1200
  • VodkaAndPolitics

    We don’t want impeachment, we need the Supreme Court to invalidate the 2016 election and install our rightful President, Hillary Rodham Clinton.

    • Igby

      Thank you.

    • jimbo65

      That would be wonderful. But alas, I have no faith in a SCOTUS that installed W as the POTUS over Gore.

    • Gerry Fisher

      Won’t happen.

      • Adam King

        Unfuckingfortunately.

        • Todd Allis

          That is my favorite word of the day now!

      • Queequeg

        No, it won’t, unfortunately.

      • cleos_mom

        Of course VAP didn’t say it would happen. Just what needs to happen.

    • Ninja0980

      Not going to happen, sad to say.

  • Lazycrockett

    Just remember folks, impeachment doesn’t remove him from office.

    • Lakeview Bob

      No but it is the first step.

      • jimbo65

        And it would fatally damage his presidency.

    • Dreaming Vertebrate

      If imPEACHment does not due the trick, maybe one of his multiple “imPEARments” will.

      • Robincho

        When it’s apple blossom time in Orange County, we’ll make a peach of a pair… 😉

  • Lakeview Bob

    I think as soon at the Democrats take back congress next year this will be a done deal.

    • PeteLI

      And then of course the Republicans will accuse them of “partisanship.”

      • 2guysnamedjoe

        Some repubs hate him, too, so it could be a bipartisan venture.

  • Sam_Handwich

    impeachment strikes me as highly unlikely unless the GOP loses the House

    resignation … that’s certainly possible

    • Boreal

      I want him to keel over dead. Impeachment helped Clinton’s approval ratings. No martyrdom for this fat orange pig.

    • Steverino

      The Nixon exit.

      • 2guysnamedjoe

        Bill him for the helicopter

    • Silver Badger

      I’m betting on assassination, with the shooter being a gay, black Muslim.

      • Adam King

        Or at least the gay black Muslim will be accused, tried and convicted. Who the actual shooter was will be a matter of speculation.

      • Xiao Ai: The Social Gadfly

        Russian for sure.

      • cleos_mom

        My bet would on someone in an intelligence agency, and on it looking like an accident or natural causes.

  • DJ John Bear

    I hear the train a comin’ rollin’ round the bend…
    I ain’t seen the sunshine since I don’t know when…
    Well I’m stuck in Folsom Prison and time keeps dragging on…

  • Boreal

    OT:
    Senate votes to eliminate Obama-era retirement rule

    By a 50-49 vote, Senate Republicans have rolled back an Obama-era
    regulation that allowed states to create retirement accounts for
    low-income workers whose employers did not provide them.

    http://thehill.com/blogs/floor-action/senate/326484-senate-votes-to-eliminate-obama-era-retirement-rule

    • Gustav2

      Helping their rural supporters with every vote!

      • Boreal

        Who will enthusiastically cheer at all the ‘winning.’

    • bobbyjoe

      Jesus, what’s the next Republican bill to pass: one that legalizes tying widows to train tracks while you stand and twirl your mustache?

      • Boreal

        If they can get the votes.

      • CB

        Or unmarried women. But given that bill that would put parents in control of their unmarried daughters’ access to abortion at any age, maybe that would be redundant. I like the tracks as an amendment to that one. /s

    • Acronym Jim

      More proof that the only reason Republicans vote on something is purely to remove an accomplishment of Obama.

      For fuck’s sake, retirement accounts not only benefit low-income workers, they benefit Wall Street.

      But wait:

      “Under the guise of helping more people save for the future, it undercut a system of private retirement savings that has served millions of Americans very well for decades,” Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) said. “The end result would be more government at the expense of the private sector.”

      Oh, It would also make “private sector” businesses that don’t offer retirement benefits look like assholes.

      So it was a two-fer.

    • JCF
  • barrixines
  • sfjohn

    I was talking to a friend & I said I would not be one bit surprised if we woke up one morning to find he’s fled the country & left a letter of resignation….

    • TuuxKabin

      Tweeted a letter of resignation. Yeah. We’d be dancing in the streets. For a while, then start picking up the pieces.

      • bkmn

        And move on to the next battle which would be a Pres. Pence, who everyone knows will be a real issue for the LGBT community.

        • TuuxKabin

          Bracing myself for that, but it was Bannon, wasn’t it, who had the plane delayed so hell beast could meet Pence? Kinda implicates a role in all the nefarious goings on. A lot of us think Pence is in it as much as hell beast.

          • bkmn

            I sure hope he is. I would love to see him and Trump in jail.

          • Lantor

            I thought it was Manafort?

          • TuuxKabin

            You’re probably correct. Those names with ‘ana’ in em’ get me mixed up.

    • Paula

      That’s why his sons have been making so many overseas trips. They are quietly moving assets out of the U.S. Scoping out a country to take them in?

      • bzrd

        there are no assets to move only his fcking name
        dump tower, golf courses, margo-blargo can only be blasted
        his???? $$$$$ ???? is on some island

  • another_steve

    Part of me says, YAAYY!!!

    Part of me says, Oy vey…President Pence :-/

    • Sam_Handwich
      • bobbyjoe

        On the one hand: yay

        On the other hand: I first accidentally read that as “Pence going down on Trump” which made me throw up in my mouth a little

      • Megrim Twist

        Rachel has brought it back to Pence several times. Pence bald-faced LIED about Flynn. He knows more and we’re going to find out. FUCK THIS EVIL ASSHOLE!

      • Beagle

        Which gives us Ryan. Or, if he goes down as well, Orrin Hatch.

  • David L. Caster

    Senate intelligence committee turned down Flynn’s request for immunity: NBC

    • Sam_Handwich

      wow, good. that leaves creepy Nunes

      • David L. Caster

        Hard to say what this means just yet. Could be that Flynn didn’t have the goods on Trump. Could be that they are waiting on the FBI and other investigations.

      • billbear1961

        Do you think that miserable fucking SHIT might grant him immunity in order to deliberately SCREW UP the FBI investigation?!

        I wouldn’t put it past him.

        His Dear Leader may be on the phone ORDERING the corrupt little BASTARD to do JUST THAT!!

    • Sam_Handwich

      creepy Jason isn’t interested either

      https://twitter.com/KatyTurNBC/status/847828921231998976

      • billbear1961

        No, he’s too busy with a plan to sell off–or give away–federal lands again, after he withdrew his last proposal!!

      • kareemachan

        Never, EVER answer any swirling things. You just can’t trust them.

  • TuuxKabin

    Recommend.

  • Jeffrey

    Oh I dunno, he may resign first.

  • Robert Anthony

    It can’t come quickly enough.

    • Ben in Oakland

      I’ve often said the same thing, but about men.

      • Robert Anthony

        : ) I see whatchu did there.

        • Ben in Oakland

          don’t tell anyone, especially my husband.

          • Robert Anthony

            Your secret’s safe with me. ; )

  • Macbill

    I’m not a gambler: does that mean a bet of $4 will get you $5 should you win?

    • Treant

      “… if the bookmaker offers odds of 4:6 against a certain horse winning a race, this means that he’ll accept a $6 stake in return for a payoff of $4, plus return of the stake, if the horse wins.”

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Odds

      So $5 in will get you $9 if he’s impeached. If not, you lose the five. They’re saying they find it more likely than not that he will be, and given the fact that the odds always favor the house, that means it’s really much higher than 56%. They’re thinking 58% to 66%.

      • Xiao Ai: The Social Gadfly

        Let me know if you’ll be heading to the track soon. 😉

        • Treant

          I don’t gamble. 🙂

          • Robincho

            That retort sounds pretty dicey to me…

          • Adam King

            That’s one risky pun.

          • Treant

            You’re a card.

          • Xiao Ai: The Social Gadfly

            I’ll take care of that. You won’t need to. 😉

      • Robincho

        Bookie: “I’ll lay you eight to five.”
        Mae West: “Those are odd hours, but I’ll be there.”

  • Bryan

    This was as-of the 27th too, we’ve learned quite a bit since. I think the odds will increase more before Monday.

  • billbear1961

    “If Trump is proven to have been in contact with the Russian government and is letting Vladimir Putin overtly shape American policy, that could be reason enough for him to get the boot.”

    It would be reason enough for his EXECUTION.

    • Adam King

      Treason is a capital offense.

      • billbear1961

        Indeed, it is.

        And the GOP just ADORE the death penalty.

        Personal responsibility, you know?!

      • Robincho

        Meting out the sentence on the Capitol grounds is a capital idea, and also meet…

  • Rex

    Odds that this presidency is effecting my quality of life – 100%

    • Adam King

      Warning: We, the grammar police, are devoid of mercy when it comes down to effect/affect.

      • Rex

        Definition of “affect” is “to have an effect on” so I’m confused on which is correct, and I also don’t give a damn.

        • Silver Badger

          But Rhett!

        • Adam King

          “Effect” as a verb means to cause, or “put into effect.”

          • Robincho

            Someone at 1600 needs to start packing up his orange crates and other effects…

          • Rex

            How’s this: Odds that this presidency is making me fucking nuts – 100%.

          • TuuxKabin

            It’s making Minnie Mouse fucking Goofy.

          • JCF

            I tend to think of it as “when you affect, you cause an effect. However if you go about effecting a change in grammar, that’s a curious affect.”

        • Ninja0980

          I’ve blocked a couple of grammar Nazis here myself.

          • Adam King

            Achtung! Papers, please.

        • Derrick Johns

          LOL I can’t stand the grammar police. Fvckin’ Gestapo…slave catchers…castle guards for the Wicked Witch of the West, etc….

      • JCF

        Thank you grammar police!

        • Adam King

          We are here to serve you, the well-spoken and fastidious public.

  • 2guysnamedjoe

    How accurately did the UK bookies predict Brexit?

  • Jeffg166

    What are the odds he’ll drop dead first?

    • Adam King

      For those you should consult the witches.

    • Adam King

      For those you should consult the witches.

    • Gil

      for those you should consult the witches..

  • Gil

    Damn…. Just when Ivanka gets her office and is trying so hard not to let this sort of thing happen to daddy….

    • Andymac3

      She has her hands full, what with covering up her own husbands constitutional and ethical violations, it’s just damage limitation for her now.

  • RNegron

    According to the Retugs Merrick Garland was hung out to dry because the president at the time had less that one year to selve. I am pretty sure the current P-resident has much less than a year to serve. Just saying….

    • TuuxKabin

      hell beast’s last year, or less, in office should not chose a nominee to SCOTUS.

  • SilasMarner

    I would love to see Trump disgraced and thrown in jail, but then look what’s next in line. An evangelical hate monger. But then him being VP could he not have know what was going on between Trump’s campaign and Russia and also be held accountable?

    • William

      The entire administration needs to go, in one swell foop.

      • ChrisMorley

        A dozen Spoonerism points for one swell foop.

  • Hue-Man
  • William

    I think I predicted June for the resignation/impeachment. It’s been weeks since I said that, we can’t expect me to remember everything.

  • yes b’y

    I say a nice Turkish prison would do for the lot. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5RbUdJcxhhg

  • excy

    Can you get this done by late May so I can visit the USA with a clear conscious? Thanks.

    • Tor

      You know what they say: “Lies, damned lies and statistics.”

  • MassageBear
  • helenwheels74

    well i hate to be picky (yeah, right), but doesn’t 4/5 = 80%, not 56%?

    • Piona O.

      I think it means that there are five chances out of nine chances total, that Trump will be impeached. Five divided by nine = 55.55555%.

      • helenwheels74

        damn. thanks, luv.

  • Ben in Oakland

    Bookmakers, or bookies, are in the business of making book, not predicting the future. If they say the odds are 56%, then they are pulling it out of their asses.

  • MassageBear
    • Gianni

      That’s good! Plus he does his best to sell them.

  • Crow on a Top Hat

    I gave him six months, so we’ll see.

  • Mark

    C’mon 100……

  • Robin Bailey
  • 3-Star

    Pence will pardon him

    • Gianni

      He can’t pardon his impeachment and removal from office. If he’s convicted of a crime, then yes, the then President could pardon him.

      • 3-Star

        You are correct and that’s what I was implying.

  • JCF

    I would caution that one of those odds-makers, Paddy Power, actually PAID “Hillary to Win Presidency” 3 weeks before the election! }-p

    To get Drumpf kicked out, it’s going to get FOCUSED WORK—and I don’t just mean by Dems in Congress! Odds, unfortunately, don’t mean shit.

    Time to break this out again:

    https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/e58dac2a248420b63f9bd46a1be500ba23042f5bf62cc1ac0dd3ead2b0a5ea3c.jpg

  • Oh, Parker

    Many of those same bookmakers had Hillary winning by a 3-1 margin, too. Of course, we know she did win the popular vote, but still…

  • Aprilvhurst

    Google is paying 97$ per hour! Work for few hours & have longer with friends and family! !dh240c:
    On tuesday I got a great new Land Rover Range Rover from having earned $8752 this last four weeks.. Its the most-financialy rewarding I’ve had.. It sounds unbelievable but you wont forgive yourself if you don’t check it
    !dh240c:
    ➽➽
    ➽➽;➽➽ http://GoogleFinancialCashJobs530WebFoxGetPaid$97/Hour ★★★✫★★★✫★★★✫★★★✫★★★✫★★★✫★★★✫★★★✫★★★✫★★★✫★★★✫★★★✫★★★✫::::::!dh240c:….,…….