Hillary Clinton leads Donald Trump in Pennsylvania, according to a new poll out Thursday that shows Trump’s path to an Electoral College majority remains a tight-rope walk. The Siena College poll, conducted for The New York Times’ “Upshot” data-journalism microsite, shows Clinton leading Trump, 46 percent to 39 percent. Libertarian Gary Johnson is at 6 percent, and Green Party nominee Jill Stein is at 3 percent. A combined 7 percent of likely voters prefer another candidate, won’t vote for the top of the ticket or are undecided.
Clinton’s lead in Pennsylvania has been fairly consistent over the past month, and her 7-point lead in the new survey matches her overall advantage in POLITICO’s Battleground States polling average in the commonwealth. The new poll was conducted Oct. 23-25, even as other surveys have indicated Trump is tightening the race slightly.
The former secretary of state is running better with white voters in Pennsylvania than she is nationally, the poll shows. Trump has a 5-point lead among white voters, 45 percent to 40 percent, but Clinton has a commanding lead over Trump among African-American voters, 90 percent to 1 percent. Clinton also leads among Hispanic voters, 61 percent to 13 percent.