Ireland’s same-sex marriage referendum is being given a 6/1 chance of passage by bookmakers Paddy Power. The controversial gambling outfit, which operates hundreds of betting parlors across Ireland and Great Britain, made international news in 2012 with the announcement that bets on Obama winning a second term would be paid out on the day before the election. Paddy Power regularly courts outrage. In 2012 they ran a contest to “Spot The Tranny” during Ladies Day at a famous horse race. In 2008 they were forced to suspend a betting contest on whether Obama would survive his first term without being assassinated.